Helping people get it right since 1984.
"great insights and understanding not only in the economic world, but also in the real world, whether political or general world events. Writes well, and highly intelligent, and have been following him religiously for 15 years, and I look forward every day to read his commentary. Australian Listed Company CEO, 15 April 2021.
Inside the Mind of an Elite Currency Trader
Today's global financial markets are every bit as vicious psychologically, and sometimes even physically, as the battles the great warriors throughout history have faced. Just as the warriors of old rode out to battle with the confidence and knowledge to conquer new lands and foes, so do the warriors of the market who thrive on the battleground of the trading floor. In Warrior Trading, Clifford Bennett, one of today's leading currency forecasters, outlines a path to trading success by highlighting the characteristics, the knowledge and skills, and the psychological state of mind required to be a true warrior trader. You'll be introduced to some fresh and unique perspectives regarding the markets, by looking at fundamental and technical analysis, as well as discovering how best to trade within the markets as an individual. Most importantly, you'll learn how to take advantage of those moments when the perceptions of most traders (the herd) are at odds with the underlying reality-moments when fear, greed, and other emotions wreak havoc on the ordinary trader's ability to operate objectively. Divided into three comprehensive parts, Warrior Trading will show you how to develop the focus, attitude, and mental discipline of a top trader so that you can make the most out of your time in the markets.
MODEL X PORTFOLIO
All-market capability model portfolio signals.
Personally constructed and optimised to substantially lead market price developments through over-the-horizon economic analysis and vision.
Timely weekly delivery to support your market awareness.
20 Nov 20 to 7 Oct 21 +45%
Example 20 September 2021.
STOCK SLIDE TO CONTINUE
September 20, 2021
Good morning everyone,
While so many are still talking about how the recovery is going in the USA, the reality is, as with Australia, we had the recovery. That's been over for quite some time. We are now well and truly in an entirely different in character, fresh downturn.
The economic fundamentals do not stack up at all at the moment.
Delta is not the biggest problem. It is a catalyst for the bedrock fractures that already exist in the economy. Over-regulation, over-taxation, and the shift to services and consumption to drive economic growth leave the future cupboard a little bare in terms of real fundamental productivity.
Inflation is already at what would normally be viewed as alarming levels. Current narratives are filed with escape clauses, such as inflation is a short term supply disruption, Delta is short term because of vaccinations, debt is not a problem because of low interest rates, a slowing economy is not a problem for stocks because the Fed will maintain stimulus. All of these commentaries, side step that each of these is a real problem in real time.
They all assume we have some underlying miracle economy that will just bounce back and power on?
Well, it didn't happen last time.
What happened in the US last time, as with Australia, is that enormous amounts were borrowed from the future to make us all feel comfortable today. Australia rebounded to above pre-covid economic activity because we had the highest per capita stimulus, while experiencing very little actual Covid The USA injected a whopping 30% of annual GDP just so the economy could barely crawl back to where it was before, in aggregate data, with 5 million less jobs. And markets celebrated? Without the artificial stimulus measures the US economy would still be 10% to 30% less in size than pre-covid.
All through this, markets partied like there was no tomorrow.
Everyone is taught the market is always right. In fact, the market is never right. It is always wrong. Which, is why it swings about so much. It is seeking the right price, and if it ever finds that mystical number, it usually rushes straight by without even noticing.
The more 'wrong' a market is, the further sentiment has stretched a market from it's true fundamental value, the bigger the trading opportunity.
In March 2009, I seized on such a scenario at a turning point long term, and went on national television to 'ring the bell' for the start of a new bull market. Alongside, saying there would be no inflation despite massive quantitative easing. Today is looking very much the exact opposite. This time, we are going to have on-going high inflation with a significant weakening stock market risk.
I hope I am wrong for most investors sake. For us though, there is tremendous opportunity in trading, and hedging of current investments that will stand us in good stead to really make a quantum lift in our investment power over the long term.
As for Australia, specifically, it remains a sell, across the currency as well. The RBA has it wrong on inflation and the nature of any opening recovery as well. This means monetary policy will be ill prepared for a volatile economic period ahead.
ROSS GREENWOOD SKYNEWS
IS IT TIME FOR A SHAKE UP AT THE RBA?
March 10, 2022: The Reserve Bank is facing criticism for giving the impression interest rates would not rise until 2024, when inflation has indeed risen. Mr Bennett believes there is an opportunity to appoint a governor “outside of that Reserve Bank career path”.