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"look out the window” economics, applying commonsense to the world, with creative imagination to take you beyond the data horizon...
USA
15 January, 2025.
Small Business Optimism Index surges similarly to Consumer Sentiment. On the back of the landslide victory of President Trump.
There is still significant upheaval for the economy on its way. Due to a range of bold policy and specific economic agendas.
This could be a more difficult year for the US than most expect.
Still bearish stocks and suggest protecting your portfolio.
US500
5841. 14 January, 2025.
Price action, aggressive attempt here to rally, and confirm all of this as a buying opportunity. Except, I am not buying it, and you should not either.
This is a crumbling major top as big funds play both sides, while being net sellers into the occasionally excited 'buy the dip' financial media/retail investor liquidity.
Don't let them use you.
RISE ABOVE
WALL STREET
BEAT THE BIG BANKS & FUNDS
BRUSHTURKEY
2 WEEK TRIAL INCLUDED.
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Aggressive in global macro markets like the Dow Jones, US Bonds, Gold, OIL, FX markets, Australia too and more. Stay Global, Stay Ahead.
CHINA
10.7%%. 14 January, 2025.
China Exports rose a whopping 10.7% in December.
Do not right this economy off. It is strongly out-performing the USA, but Wall St media spin wants you to believe thay are crashing. Trouble spots, yes, but the world's second largest economy is growing at 5%.
Don't forget that.
US10Y
4.8%. 14 January, 2025.
We have been bullish and long US bond yields, short the bond market, this whole journey higher in yield.
We called this just about better than anyone else in the world! Its true.
We understood, when few did, that bond yields would keep rising even as the Federal reserve cut rates.
The US simply has to pay more to keep borrowing against its fiscal juggernaut crisis.
Still bearish price. Bullish yield.
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